Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.142131 0.173329 0.207136 0.246196 0.289794 0.336688 0.390668
2025-03-16 0.093144 0.132321 0.178733 0.236535 0.305395 0.383696 0.478358
2025-03-23 0.069214 0.113815 0.171130 0.247154 0.342484 0.455460 0.596881
2025-03-30 0.047950 0.093098 0.156425 0.245878 0.363586 0.508359 0.695123
2025-04-06 0.033387 0.077476 0.145049 0.246300 0.385352 0.561867 0.795298
2025-04-13 0.024242 0.067334 0.139174 0.252573 0.414004 0.624245 0.907776
2025-04-20 0.017945 0.059907 0.135756 0.261225 0.445452 0.690582 1.026510
2025-04-27 0.013021 0.053156 0.131967 0.268339 0.474386 0.753891 1.142400
2025-05-04 0.008438 0.044751 0.123519 0.266876 0.490265 0.799505 1.235687
2025-05-11 0.005749 0.039530 0.119725 0.272058 0.515478 0.857935 1.346543
2025-05-18 0.003358 0.033078 0.112013 0.269580 0.528545 0.899359 1.435007
2025-05-25 0.001390 0.025046 0.098731 0.255624 0.522659 0.913298 1.485954
2025-06-01 0.000686 0.021642 0.095249 0.259144 0.544653 0.968156 1.594855
2025-06-08 0.000179 0.016901 0.086901 0.252449 0.549658 0.998349 1.670185
2025-06-15 0.000078 0.015983 0.088676 0.265525 0.587398 1.077158 1.814313
2025-06-22 0.000006 0.013226 0.084143 0.265355 0.602879 1.123211 1.913124
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011036 0.080500 0.266485 0.620338 1.172332 2.016759
2025-07-06 NaN 0.009817 0.079702 0.273496 0.647972 1.237126 2.143345
2025-07-13 NaN 0.008981 0.080012 0.282852 0.679821 1.308680 2.280240
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008057 0.079608 0.290490 0.708762 1.376151 2.411959
2025-07-27 NaN 0.006454 0.075456 0.289034 0.721305 1.418461 2.507806
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005614 0.074347 0.294543 0.746418 1.480485 2.632715
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004344 0.070109 0.291962 0.756523 1.519111 2.723892